Beautiful home in Arroyo Grande. Beautifully and tastefully undated home. Not a short sale. Not a bank owned. You must see this one. Stop by this Saturday!!
click to see virtual tour Beautiful Home in Anthem area (Arroyo Grande)
Phoenix area home sales
Beautiful home in Arroyo Grande. Beautifully and tastefully undated home. Not a short sale. Not a bank owned. You must see this one. Stop by this Saturday!!
click to see virtual tour Beautiful Home in Anthem area (Arroyo Grande)
March 22 - We hit the bottom in market pricing on September 15 last year, when the average price per sq. ft. for monthly sales was $78.83. At that time, REOs were 11.8% of active listings and 42.6% of sales. REOs are now just 6.6% of active listings and just 22.0% of sales. This is one of the key reasons that the average price per sq. ft. for monthly sales has already risen 16.3% since that low point.. It is also the reason that the monthly median sales price has moved up by 15.0% from $110,000 to $126,500. Since we still have nearly 6 months to go until September 15, 2012, what do we think the annual appreciation rate will be on that day? I’m going to leave that question hanging there…. contact me and give me your feedback!
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But according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting (JBREC), that’s stale news and doesn’t reflect what’s actually happening in the market right now. In fact, the independent research company says home prices are rising.

JBREC conducted its own analysis of home prices in 97 markets and found that over the January-to-March period prices are up in 90 of them. The average price increase over the last three months is 1.1 percent, or a 4.5 percent annual rate, according to data issued by JBREC just before S&P’s Case-Shiller release.
The company also found that home prices have been trending up nationally since January, and even more markets have turned positive recently, with 93 of the 97 markets it analyzed showing appreciation over the last month.
So why are other industry indices still painting a picture of the doom and gloom of freefalling home prices? Wayne Yamano, VP and director of research for JBREC, says it’s because most price indices are on a three-month lag.
Yamano explains that after hundreds of hours of research vetting 23 data sources and running calculation after calculation, JBREC developed the Burns Home Value Index (BHVI), which calculates home values based on prices that are set at the time purchase contracts are negotiated and signed.
Nearly all other indices are based on when the purchase transaction closes, he says, which is typically two months after the purchase contracts were negotiated. Then, it takes one to two months for the closing price data to be compiled and reported, according to Yamano.
He contends that the BHVI is a better assessment of current changes in home prices and precedes median price data from the National Association of Realtors by three months and the S&P/Case-Shiller index by four to six months.
“It is current because it uses what is happening in MLS databases all over the country, as well as some leading indicators we have determined are reliable,” Yamano explained. “We call it a Home Value index because it is partially based on an ‘electronic appraisal’ of every home in the market, rather than just the small sample of homes that are actually transacting.”
JBREC has calculated BHVI index values for the United States and 97 major metro areas, with history going back to January 2000.
“The slow housing market recovery is underway, and it can accelerate or turn down quickly,” said Yamano. “The future is uncertain, and it is even more uncertain when you are using data that is three months old.”
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“The nation’s housing market as a whole are in better shape today than at any time since the 2009-2010 tax credits,” according to Realtor.com’s monthly housing summary. “While higher list prices do not always translate into higher sales prices, they may signal a growing optimism on the part of sellers that the market has begun to turn around.”
Florida continues to be the market seeing some of the biggest increases to median list prices in the last year. The following 10 markets posted the biggest rise in median list prices year-over-year, according to February housing data from Realtor.com.
1. Miami, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 26.19%
Median list price: $265,000
2. Phoenix-Mesa, Ariz.
Year-over-year increase: 20.62%
Median list price: $174,900
3. Punta Gorda, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 19.35%
Median list price: $185,000
4. West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 18.48%
Median list price: $225,000
5. Washington, D.C.-Md.-Va.-W.Va.
Year-over-year increase: 18.45%
Median list price: $384,950
6. Boise City, Idaho
Year-over-year increase: 16.28%
Median list price: $150,000
7. Naples, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 15.67%
Median list price: $369,000
8. Fort Myers-Cape Coral, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 15.59%
Median list price: $229,900
9. Daytona Beach, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 15.56%
Median list price: $179,000
10. Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla.
Year-over-year increase: 14.47%
Median list price: $246,000
By Melissa Dittmann Tracey, REALTOR® Magazine Daily News
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Rates for all mortgage loan products headed higher this week as positive employment indicators rolled in, with job growth over the last six months the strongest it’s been since 2006. That, coupled with the Greek debt restructuring on the international front and the results of the Federal Reserve’s stress tests pointing to a stronger financial banking system, boosted investor confidence and drove bond yields higher. “An upbeat employment report for February caused U.S. Treasury bond yields to increase over the week and mortgage rates followed,” according to Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac’s chief economist.
Studies from both Freddie Mac and Bankrate showed the same measurable increases across-the-board.
The GSE reports the average rate for a 30-year conforming mortgage at 3.92 percent (0.8 point) for the week ending March 15, up from 3.88 percent last week. Despite the increase, the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage has been below 4.00 percent for 15 consecutive weeks in Freddie Mac’s study, helping to keep homebuyer affordability high. The GSE averages rate data from 125 lenders across the country.
Bankrate’s study zeros in on rate quotes from the 10 largest lenders in the 10 largest markets. That analysis put the 30-year rate at an average of 4.15 percent (0.40 point) this week, up from 4.11 percent last week.
The average 15-year fixed mortgage stepped up from 3.34 percent last week to 3.38 percent (0.33 point), according to Bankrate, while the jumbo 30-year fixed mortgage jumped to a three-month high of 4.73 percent, soaring 10 basis points from 4.63 percent last week.
Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) were mostly higher as well in Bankrate’s study, with the average 5-year ARM rising to 3.14 percent (0.33 point) and the 7-year ARM climbing to 3.33 percent.
Freddie Mac’s study found the 15-year fixed mortgage averaging 3.16 percent (0.8 point) this week, up from 3.13 percent last week.
The GSE reports the average rate for a 5-year ARM to have ascended 2 basis points to 2.83 percent (0.8 point) this week, and the 1-year ARM posting a 6 basis point increase to 2.79 percent (0.6 point).
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Click to view my March 2012 newsletter. http://phxazproperties.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Joe-Hudgick-Newsletter-March-2012.pdf
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Both companies note that as key market data align with pre-recession totals, consumers should anticipate steady economic growth for major credit sectors.
Looking across the full spectrum of consumer credit, Equifax and Moody’s found that delinquency rates for auto, bankcard, and consumer finance are back to pre-recession levels. These sectors are expected to contribute to the U.S. economy’s nascent recovery.
The home mortgage lending sector continues to see the highest percentage of delinquencies, the companies’ report notes, even with outstanding mortgage balances (including first liens and home equity lines and loans) having declined by $1 trillion since 2008 and continuing to drop.
Even so, mortgage rates are at all-time lows, with refinance activity at high levels and offsetting diminished demand for new loan originations, according to Equifax and Moody’s.
The companies also note that tighter lending guidelines are reflected in loans made to the prime risk segment (those borrowers with an Equifax score of 700 or above). Consumers that fit the bill of a prime risk now account for more than 80 percent of all new mortgage originations.
“After spending recent years in the financial doldrums, U.S. consumers are poised to make a comeback in 2012,” according to Amy Crews Cutts, chief economist for Equifax.
She says the most promising indicators are showing up in consumer spending and the auto financing sector, but even the housing market is exhibiting incremental progress that points to increased traction in the coming months.
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Lenders are allowing more short sales by financially strapped homeowners and a few people are even getting cash to complete the sale.
Short sales have been increasing for months, but the financial incentives — which Realtors say are random and infrequent — are a newer wrinkle.
Examples:
•JPMorgan Chase went national with short-sale incentive offers last year, paying up to $35,000 in some cases.
•Bank of America is testing incentives from $5,000 to $25,000 in Florida to see if they should be expanded to more states. The Florida program began last fall, spokesman Richard Simon says.
•Wells Fargo‘s incentive offers range from less than $3,000 to $20,000, spokesman James Hines says.
Short sales, even with incentive payments to borrowers, can save lenders money compared with the expenses involved in completing foreclosures.
In states such as Florida where foreclosures go through the courts, 50% of loans in foreclosure are more than two years past due, says a January report by mortgage tracker LPS Applied Analytics.
“It’s a lot cheaper to shell out $10,000 or $20,000 to someone than it is to go through a long foreclosure,” says Jim Gillespie, chief executive of Coldwell Banker.
Banks are more willing to do short sales now than in the past, Gillespie says. Cash incentives appear to be “limited but increasing” in number, he adds.
“When a loan modification isn’t possible, a short sale may be a better and faster solution” than foreclosure, says JPMorgan Chase spokesman Thomas Kelly.
The lenders won’t say how often they extend such incentives.
“If you have two similar sellers, one might get it and another may not,” says Colleen Badagliacco of Altera Real Estate in San Jose. “It’s very random.”
Typically, short sale incentives are more common for loans in states where foreclosures take more time, Hines says.
In November, short sales accounted for more than 9% of single family home sales and were up 32% from the year before, according to CoreLogic.
Market researcher Dataquick also shows short sales increasing from January 2011 through last month throughout California and in Phoenix, Miami and Seattle.
The federal government-run foreclosure prevention program also offers short sale incentives, at least $3,000 for sellers, but far more short sales are being done outside the government program.
Through December, just 26,901 short sales had been completed through the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternative (HAFA) program.
In contrast, BofA, the largest servicer of home loans, did 107,000 short sales last year. That was up from 92,000 in 2010, which was double the 2009 volume, it says.
“The trend is up,” says Moody’s Investors Service analyst William Fricke.
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The Phoenix housing market is showing signs of improvement, even generating bidding wars among buyers for lower-priced homes. The area was one of the hardest hit by the foreclosure crisis. Prices had fallen 57% from their peak. Now, “We list a property and, within two or three days, we have multiple offers,” says Keith Krone of Keller Williams Realty in a Phoenix suburb. While frustrating for buyers attempting to get homes at rock-bottom prices, it’s a healthy sign of healing in a market scorched by the housing bust five years ago, say local Realtors and real estate experts. The area’s January home sales were up 8.1% year-over-year. Multiple offers are common on lower-end homes, investor-buyers say. And the inventory of homes for sale is now well below the 10-year average, says Michael Orr, real estate expert at ASU. National data watchers have also seen improvements in Phoenix. In October and November, it was the only one of 20 major cities to see home values rise month-to-month, according to Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller home price index, which reports December results today. Phoenix “is probably the best example we have right now of a hard-hit market that’s showing signs of recovery,” says Zillow economist Stan Humphries.
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